Melania
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$448
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Why it moved: +19 points at 14:23 UTC, after The Hill News: Melania Trump teases new docuseries with promise to answer ‘private questions’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 13:15 UTC | 80% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump states Melania or a plural or possessive form of her name after September 21, 2026 at 9:00am ET and before September 28, 2026 at 12:00am ET. The outcome is No if this specific statement does not occur within that exact timeframe. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the relevant deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%