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Crypto / Bitcoin

Implied probability 21%+7
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves26 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +57 points at 16:58 UTC, after CoinDesk: Trump to throw spotlight on overseas crypto abuses at White House event — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Crypto / Bitcoin
0%50%100%21%20 Oct, 16:19 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now21%
21 Oct, 19:17 UTC61%
21 Oct, 17:12 UTC85%
21 Oct, 16:58 UTC71%
20 Oct, 16:19 UTC14%

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What counts

The outcome is "Yes" if Donald Trump explicitly mentions "Crypto / Bitcoin" or any variation of that term during his speech at the White House event between October 19, 2026, at 10:30 AM ET and October 26, 2026, at midnight ET. The outcome is "No" if he does not mention it within this specific timeframe or if the term is not used in the context of highlighting overseas abuses.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 21%
  • No 79%

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