Before 2027
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$6.0M
Liquidity$6.0M
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 07:01 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump leaves office before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he remains in office on or after that date. Readers often mistake the linked Supreme Court case for the deciding factor, but only his actual departure from office matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%