Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 6%+3
24-hour volume$111
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 09:06 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei have any contact, including a phone call, before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for proof of contact, but only actual communication between the two men counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%