Peace in the Middle East
The market favoured No at 87% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$12k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 07:03 UTC | 0% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%