Crypto / Bitcoin
Why it moved: +74 points at 16:58 UTC, after CoinDesk: Trump to throw spotlight on overseas crypto abuses at White House event — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 86% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 85% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 87% |
| 21 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 78% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump mentions crypto or Bitcoin during a White House roundtable event that was originally scheduled for October 21, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the original schedule for the actual date of the event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%