Crypto / Bitcoin
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$22k
Resolved3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 0% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%