Fake News
Why it moved: +46 points at 11:54 UTC, after The Hill: Trump boasts about economy, slams 'fake news' amid media battle — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 12:01 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump uses the phrase "Fake News" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium on September 29, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not use that specific phrase in that setting. Readers often mistake any general criticism of the media for satisfying the condition, but only the exact words matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%