Tariff
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolved12 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +99 points at 10:45 UTC, after Just In News: Tariff challengers take Trump back to court: 'Rinse and repeat' — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 0% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%