Veteran
The market favoured Yes at 57% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$28k
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$29k
Resolved2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 66% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump says the word "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in Wichita, Kansas. The rally must be the event originally scheduled for October 19, 2026. Readers often mistake any mention of veterans or other rallies as sufficient, but only that specific speech counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%