Deport / Deported / Deportation
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump uses the words "Deport," "Deported," or "Deportation" during his Midterm Rally in Grand Island, Nebraska. The event must take place on October 5, 2026, as originally scheduled for this condition to be met. Readers often mistake the date of the rally for a deadline to submit predictions rather than the specific moment when the spoken words trigger the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%