Vladimir Putin
Implied probability 95%+37
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have any contact, including a phone call, during October 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the resolution trigger, but only actual contact between the two leaders in that specific month counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%