Pope Leo XIV
Implied probability 7%−2
24-hour volume$36
Total volume$31k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 09:13 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump meets Pope Leo XIV in person between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a visit to France as the resolution event, but only a direct meeting between Trump and the Pope counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%