At least 2
Implied probability 27%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves21 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 31 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 27% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump two or more times during his second presidential term. It resolves to No if he faces fewer than two impeachments in that period. Readers often mistake the source of truth, thinking any political criticism or Senate action counts instead of only formal House impeachments.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 27%
- No 73%