Marco Rubio
Implied probability 30%+1
24-hour volume$70
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves1 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 13 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 30% |
| 13 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 26% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 25% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 29% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump publicly endorses Marco Rubio for the 2028 presidential election before March 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Colombia as the trigger, but only a direct endorsement by Trump counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 70%