North Korea
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$485
Total volume$50k
Liquidity$50k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 10% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 10% |
| 18 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 12:37 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within North Korea's borders between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a missile test for a visit, but only his physical presence counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%