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Hungary

Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and is present within Hungary between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not meet this condition by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Hungarian politics for the trigger, but only Trump's physical presence matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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