Before 2027
Why it moved: +34 points at 15:57 UTC, after The Guardian US: US judge orders Trump to sit for deposition in $10bn lawsuit against BBC — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 46% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 55% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump sits for a deposition in his defamation lawsuit against the BBC, as confirmed by any Source Agency between now and December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if this event does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it extends to January 1, 2027, but confirmation must occur before that date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 46%
- No 54%