Jensen Huang
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$33k
Total volume$53k
Liquidity$53k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 16:07 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 90% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 07:10 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 85% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 99% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Jensen Huang meet in person between now and October 1, 2026. The outcome is No if they do not meet within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Pope Leo as a relevant event, but only a meeting between Trump and Huang counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%