Elon Musk
Implied probability 99%+8
24-hour volume$252
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +8 points at 02:59 UTC, after CBS News Politics: Trump to headline "Golden Age" event with top officials, tech executives — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 91% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Elon Musk meet in person between now and October 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake a scheduled appearance or virtual meeting for the required in-person interaction.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%