Dario Amodei
Why it moved: +85 points at 17:31 UTC, after TechCrunch: Anthropic’s Dario Amodei gets the SNL treatment — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Dario Amodei meet in person between now and October 1, 2026. The outcome is No if they do not meet within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story as evidence of a meeting, but only an actual in-person encounter counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%