Choosin' Texas
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$200
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 21:49 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 15:46 UTC | 97% |
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What counts
The song 'Choosin' Texas' must reach number one on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week ending October 3, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked headline's record-setting duration as the resolution criteria, but only the specific chart position on that exact date matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%