Choosin' Texas
Implied probability 98%−1
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 15:46 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The song 'Choosin' Texas' must reach number one on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week ending October 3, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked headline's record-setting duration as the resolution criteria, but only the specific chart position on that exact date matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%