Mark Zuckerberg
Implied probability 23%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 8 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Zuckerberg ranks among the three wealthiest individuals globally on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not meet this wealth threshold by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the year in which the news story was published, but the resolution depends strictly on his status on December 31, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%