Jeff Bezos
Why it moved: +17 points at 06:55 UTC, after Times of India: Jeff Bezos’ Earth Fund commits more than $25 million to Pacific ocean conservation — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 92% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Sept, 06:41 UTC | 75% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jeff Bezos ranks among the three wealthiest people in the world on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not meet this criteria by that date. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline or assume the linked news story about his Earth Fund affects the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 92%
- No 8%