Dario Amodei
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$59
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Dario Amodei is named Time magazine's Person of the Year in 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked SNL sketch for the actual award announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%