Before Jul 1, 2027
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$31k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 13:37 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Clarence Thomas retires from his position as a Supreme Court justice before July 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not retire by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year rather than the specific July 1 cutoff.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%