Draw/Tie
Why it moved: +6 points at 10:12 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: South Africa v Australia: third men’s cricket Test, day one – live — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 09:51 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 11% |
| 26 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 16:11 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the South Africa versus Australia men's professional Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if one team wins the series. Readers often mistake the start date of the match for the resolution deadline, but the market resolves based on the final result of the entire series.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%