Draw/Tie
Implied probability 40%+11
24-hour volume$62k
Total volume$64k
Liquidity$64k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 45% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 42% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 44% |
| 18 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 11:40 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 24% |
| 18 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 03:14 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the South Africa vs Australia Test series ends in a draw or tie. It resolves to No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the start date of the match for the deadline, but the resolution depends on the final result of the entire series.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 60%