None before July 2027
Implied probability 5%+3
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$957k
Liquidity$957k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if a public announcement confirms that None successfully takes over Warner Bros before July 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the release date of Gremlins 3 for the deadline, but only the takeover announcement matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%