Taylor Swift
Why it moved: −6 points at 19:18 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Rams' Matthew Stafford makes surprise cameo in Taylor Swift's new music video — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 13:02 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Sept, 04:25 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 00:57 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 20:12 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 05:16 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 18:00 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 13:03 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 00:16 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 21:36 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 20:37 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift is officially announced as the headliner for the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before February 15, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any public appearance or speculation about her performing for an official announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%