Disney+
Why it moved: −7 points at 16:33 UTC, after Variety: Disney Wants Up to $12 Million for Super Bowl Commercials, Even With Big Game Ads Sold Out — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 94% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Disney+ airs a qualifying ad during the official 2027 Super Bowl broadcast. It resolves to No if no such advertisement appears in that specific game. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past Super Bowl bid for the actual event, but only ads aired in the 2027 game count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 87%
- No 13%