Coinbase
Implied probability 52%−4
24-hour volume$14
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves15 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 11 Nov, 02:13 UTC | 52% |
| 11 Nov, 01:32 UTC | 64% |
| 9 Nov, 22:29 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 74% |
| 8 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 52% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Coinbase airs a qualifying ad during the 2027 Super Bowl broadcast; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the bank charter for the resolution condition, but only the Super Bowl advertisement matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%