Super Ballon d'Or awarded
Why it moved: −4 points at 13:48 UTC, after SI Feed: Harry Kane's Emotional Ballon d'Or Speech Includes Heartfelt Message to Wife Kate — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 46% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 46% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an individual receives a Super Ballon d'Or award at any time before January 1, 2030. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the award ceremony rather than the official awarding date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 46%
- No 54%