Above 118 million
The market favoured Yes at 56% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$384
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved2 Feb 2027
Why it moved: +66 points at 16:48 UTC, after CNBC: Modelo owner Constellation is getting creative to bring back beer drinkers as overall demand weakens — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 33% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%