Before 2027
Implied probability 24%+1
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$31k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 16:14 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Sept, 15:12 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a SpaceX Starship launches from Florida before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the launch location or date for the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%