Above 316 million
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 6 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Spotify Technology S.A. reports having more than 316 million premium subscribers in 2026. It resolves to No if the reported number is 316 million or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on any quarterly report rather than the specific annual figure for 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%