Above 800 million
Implied probability 97%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 16:55 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Spotify Technology S.A. reports having more than 800 million total monthly active users in 2026. It resolves to No if the company does not report that figure. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a service outage for the relevant metric, but only the official user count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%