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Eminem

Implied probability 93%+16
24-hour volume$428
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves8 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +16 points at 12:30 UTC, after Billboard: Kid Rock Searching For Salvation on Upcoming ‘Halfway to Jesus’ Christian Rock Album Featuring Eminem Collab — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Eminem
0%50%100%93%1 Oct, 12:14 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now93%
2 Oct, 12:30 UTC93%
1 Oct, 12:14 UTC77%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Eminem releases a new song in 2026. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Kid Rock as sufficient evidence for a Yes resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 93%
  • No 7%

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