Exactly Yes
Why it moved: +87 points at 21:43 UTC, after SI Feed: Travis Kelce Has Perfect Response to Taylor Swift's Viral 'That's My Husband' Moment — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 24 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 70% |
| 24 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Sept, 02:05 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Sept, 22:55 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Sept, 22:20 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Sept, 21:43 UTC | 87% |
| 22 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if exactly four unique songs credited to Taylor Swift appear in the top four spots on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of October 10, 2026. It resolves to No if that specific condition is not met. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her wedding ring as relevant to the resolution, but only the Billboard chart data determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 70%
- No 30%