At least 55 GWdc
Implied probability 18%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves31 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the United States installs at least 55 gigawatts of direct current solar capacity during the calendar year 2026. It resolves to No if that specific threshold is not met within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked headline about current capacity for the final resolution, but only new installations in 2026 count toward the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%