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South Africa

Implied probability 77%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves30 Jan 2028
How the odds moved · South Africa
0%50%100%77%25 Oct, 11:31 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now77%
26 Oct, 11:49 UTC77%
25 Oct, 11:31 UTC85%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

South Africa must qualify for the men's cricket event at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics before that year begins. The market resolves to Yes if they secure this spot and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the current Test series result as relevant, but only Olympic qualification counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 77%
  • No 23%

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