Tina Fey
Implied probability 41%+1
24-hour volume$48
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 41% |
| 11 Nov, 09:16 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 39% |
| 10 Nov, 15:03 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 37% |
| 10 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 39% |
| 9 Nov, 17:30 UTC | 41% |
| 8 Nov, 22:28 UTC | 38% |
| 8 Nov, 00:14 UTC | 40% |
| 7 Nov, 20:34 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 16:50 UTC | 39% |
| 6 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 07:38 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if an official announcement names Tina Fey as the new showrunner of SNL before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the hiring of other staff members for a change in showrunning leadership.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 41%
- No 59%