Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 13%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about energy prices for the relevant event, but only an official election announcement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%