Chuck Schumer
Implied probability 34%+1
24-hour volume$100
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 24 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 33% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Chuck Schumer wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific position. Readers often mistake the linked story about a different nominee as relevant, but only the result of the Majority Leader election matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%