Kansas
Implied probability 62%−2
24-hour volume$40
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 62% |
| 4 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas wins by a margin of 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive. It resolves to No if that margin exceeds 5 percentage points. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the final certification of results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 62%
- No 38%