Alaska
Implied probability 63%+5
24-hour volume$189
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 58% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska wins by a margin of 5 percentage points or less. The outcome depends strictly on the final certified vote count for that specific race. Readers often mistake this for any general election result in Alaska rather than just the Senate contest.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 37%