Elizabeth Warren
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Nov, 22:26 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elizabeth Warren wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific race. Readers often mistake the linked story about Jim Elected GOP Leader as relevant, but only the outcome of the Senate Democratic Leader election matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%