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Above 80

Implied probability 93%+5
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves9 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +3 points at 18:34 UTC, after Variety: ‘Godzilla Minus Zero’ First Reactions Go Crazy for ‘Epic’ and ‘Jaw-Dropping’ Sequel: ‘Should Be Nominated for Best Picture’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Above 80
0%50%100%93%23 Sept, 16:05 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now93%
27 Sept, 00:42 UTC93%
26 Sept, 18:34 UTC91%
24 Sept, 19:56 UTC88%
24 Sept, 16:18 UTC87%
23 Sept, 16:05 UTC88%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Godzilla Minus Zero has a Tomatometer score above 80 on November 9, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the film's release or festival premiere for the resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 93%
  • No 7%

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