Above 80
Implied probability 97%
24-hour volume$148
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves9 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 00:42 UTC | 93% |
| 26 Sept, 18:34 UTC | 91% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 88% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Godzilla Minus Zero has a Tomatometer score above 80 on November 9, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the film's release or festival premiere for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%