Daft Punk
Implied probability 1%−3
24-hour volume$282
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Why it moved: −3 points at 15:43 UTC, after Consequence: Daft Punk and LEGO Join Forces for New Partnership, “Alive 2007” Set Confirmed — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 4% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Daft Punk headlines Coachella in 2027. It resolves to No if they do not headline that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked Lego collaboration for a relevant factor, but only the Coachella headliner status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%