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Donald Trump

Implied probability 12%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Donald Trump
0%50%100%12%13 Oct, 17:14 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now12%
13 Oct, 17:14 UTC12%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump appears on the Joe Rogan Experience before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that appearance does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked SNL story for a relevant event, but only an appearance on the Joe Rogan Experience counts toward resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 12%
  • No 88%

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